Jan 28, 2022

Lower Estimates for 2021/22 Soybeans in Southern Brazil

Author: Michael Cordonnier/Soybean & Corn Advisor, Inc.

The state agencies for Parana and Mato Grosso do Sul in southern Brazil reduced their estimates for the 2021/22 soybean production once again. Recent rains in the two states have helped temporarily, but more rain is needed to recharge the soil moisture after one of the worst droughts in recent memory.

The Department of Rural Economics for the state of Parana (Deral) lowered their estimate of the 2021/22 soybean crop to 12.8 million tons compared to 13.1 million last month. This is 39% lower than their initial estimate of 21 million at the start of the growing season and 35% lower than last year's production of 19.8 million tons.

In their latest assessment of the soybean crop in the state of Parana, Deral rated the soybeans as 31% poor, 33% average, and 36% good. The soybeans are 3% in vegetative development, 12% flowering, 60% filling pods, 25% mature, and 8% harvested.

In the state of Mato Grosso do Sul, the Agriculture and Livestock Federation of Mato Grosso do Sul (Famasul) now expect the state's 2021/22 soybean production to be 11.4 million tons, which is down 13.8% compared to last year even though the soybean acreage increased 7% to 3.7 million hectares (9.1 million acres).

The average soybean yield in Mato Grosso do Sul was reduced to 50.6 sacks per hectare (45.2 bu/ac), which is down 19.4% from last year. Famasul rated the soybeans at 31% poor, 36% average, and 36% good.

Southeastern Mato Grosso do Sul has been the region of the state most impacted by the dry conditions and the soybeans in that region are rated 95% poor and 5% average.